The economy tiers do the fighting
Neither carrier's flagship ground product won a single rung under 30 lb here. UPS Ground Saver and FedEx Ground Economy, the slower budget services, are where the real price war happens for everyday parcels.
Forget the marketing pages. We put identical packed boxes through both networks at ten weights and wrote down what checkout wanted. FedEx actually edges UPS at 15 lb by fifteen cents — the only rung it wins — which tells you how hard these two shadow each other.
Every other rung out of Newark still belongs to UPS, but at 15 lb FedEx Ground Economy undercuts UPS Ground Saver by fifteen cents.
Boxes grow with the weight, from a 1 lb parcel near 10 by 8 by 4 inches to a 50 lb carton near 24 by 18 by 14, matching how real shipments pack out. FedEx sat out the lightest rungs in this data, which itself is useful to know if you ship small.
Weight only tells half of it. We ran fresh quotes out of Newark, NJ 07102 to eight cities at 20 lb and 50 lb, and the winner moves with the miles as much as the pounds. At 20 lb, FedEx Ground Economy took five of the eight cities and UPS Ground Saver took the other three, every 20 lb margin under four dollars. At 50 lb, USPS returned no rate at all on any of these eight lanes — UPS and FedEx split that market between them — and UPS won all eight, with the widest gap landing not on the longest haul but on the shorter box to Chicago.
| Destination | Best UPS | Best FedEx | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoboken, NJ | $17.01 Ground Saver | $16.47 Ground Economy | FedEx by 54¢ |
| Philadelphia, PA | $17.01 Ground Saver | $16.47 Ground Economy | FedEx by 54¢ |
| Atlanta, GA | $23.00 Ground Saver | $23.22 Ground Economy | UPS by 22¢ |
| Chicago, IL | $23.00 Ground Saver | $26.59 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Dallas, TX | $27.40 Ground Saver | $26.71 Ground Economy | FedEx by 69¢ |
| Denver, CO | $31.43 Ground Saver | $32.61 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Los Angeles, CA | $36.67 Ground Saver | $36.63 Ground Economy | FedEx by 4¢ |
| Seattle, WA | $36.67 Ground Saver | $36.63 Ground Economy | FedEx by 4¢ |
| Destination | Best UPS | Best FedEx | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoboken, NJ | $26.39 Ground | $35.51 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Philadelphia, PA | $26.39 Ground | $35.51 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Atlanta, GA | $47.42 Ground | $58.19 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Chicago, IL | $47.42 Ground | $62.08 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Dallas, TX | $59.74 Ground | $70.77 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Denver, CO | $71.42 Ground | $83.88 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Los Angeles, CA | $80.12 Ground | $92.81 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Seattle, WA | $80.12 Ground | $92.81 Ground Economy | UPS |
FedEx Ground Economy won five of the eight cities at 20 lb — Hoboken, Philadelphia, Dallas, Los Angeles and Seattle — each by less than a dollar. UPS Ground Saver won the other three: Atlanta by 22¢, Denver by close to a dollar twenty, and Chicago by nearly four dollars, the widest 20 lb margin on the grid. At 50 lb the flipping stops entirely: UPS Ground beat FedEx Ground Economy on all eight cities, and the biggest gap in dollars wasn't the transcontinental box to Los Angeles or Seattle — it was the shorter box to Chicago, $47.42 against $62.08. Both tables hold each carrier's cheapest quote, not its only one. FedEx Ground bid on five of the eight 20 lb lanes and always above Ground Economy: $34.72 to Atlanta, $40.43 to Dallas, $49.38 to Denver and $55.00 to Los Angeles and Seattle. At 50 lb it bid on all eight, $36.83 to Hoboken and Philadelphia through $113.53 to Los Angeles and Seattle, while UPS 3 Day Select ran from $34.79 on the nearest lane out to $142.70 on the two farthest.
| Weight | Best UPS | Best FedEx | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 lb | $10.69 Ground | no FedEx quote | UPS |
| 2 lb | $10.52 Ground Saver | $12.42 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 3 lb | $11.70 Ground Saver | $12.42 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 5 lb | $12.85 Ground Saver | $14.31 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 10 lb | $16.77 Ground Saver | $17.36 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 15 lb | $19.78 Ground Saver | $19.63 Ground Economy | FedEx by 15¢ |
| 20 lb | $23.00 Ground Saver | $23.22 Ground Economy | UPS by 22¢ |
| 30 lb | $32.49 Ground | $34.30 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 40 lb | $40.51 Ground | $50.49 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 50 lb | $47.42 Ground | $58.19 Ground Economy | UPS |
| Weight | Best UPS | Best FedEx | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 lb | $23.44 Ground Saver | $27.42 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 15 lb | $29.17 Ground Saver | $32.82 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 20 lb | $36.67 Ground Saver | $40.53 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 30 lb | $54.70 Ground | $63.83 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 40 lb | $69.03 Ground | $83.93 Ground Economy | UPS |
| 50 lb | $80.12 Ground | $96.71 Ground Economy | UPS |
Not quite a clean sweep this time: FedEx grabbed the 15 lb rung out of Newark by fifteen cents, then UPS took back every other row. Look at the shape of it: pennies apart through the middle weights, then a widening gap that tops ten dollars once cartons hit 50 lb. A different box or a different week can reorder any row, so the only comparison that matters is the one you run on your own shipment.
Neither carrier's flagship ground product won a single rung under 30 lb here. UPS Ground Saver and FedEx Ground Economy, the slower budget services, are where the real price war happens for everyday parcels.
Regular FedEx Ground appeared from 15 lb up and always cost more than its economy sibling: $29.09 against $19.63 on the 15 lb Newark box. If your date is flexible, that spread is pure savings.
Out of Newark the 50 lb gap was about eleven dollars; from Los Angeles it grew to close to seventeen, $80.12 versus $96.71. Heavy plus far is where this matchup stops being close in our snapshot.
Same 20 lb box, eight cities out of Newark, quoted 2026-08-23: FedEx Ground Economy took five destinations and UPS Ground Saver took the other three, Atlanta, Chicago and Denver. The split doesn't line up with mileage in any clean order — it just moves lane by lane.
Across all eight destinations in the same 2026-08-23 grid, USPS returned no rate at 50 lb. That leaves UPS and FedEx bidding alone, and UPS Ground, the cheaper of the two carriers' cheapest quotes, took every city.
UPS took nine of our ten 2026-08-21 rungs; FedEx Ground Economy edged it at 15 lb by fifteen cents. At 10 lb from Newark to Atlanta, UPS Ground Saver quoted $16.77 and FedEx Ground Economy quoted $17.36. At 40 lb the same matchup read $40.51 to $50.49, so the margin grows with the box.
It's the FedEx budget tier, once called SmartPost, built for parcels that can trade a couple of days for a lower price. On our Newark lane it quoted 6-7 business days, and cross-country it stretched to 9-10.
You're paying for the faster network. At 15 lb from Newark, FedEx Ground quoted $29.09 with a 5-6 day window while Ground Economy quoted $19.63 at 6-7 days. Roughly nine dollars bought about one saved day on that box.
Real checkout prices. Each number is what the SMKlog calculator would have charged in full for that box on 2026-08-21, SMKlog's cut included, on the exact ZIP pairs named in the tables.
Yes. In a 2026-08-23 grid of 20 lb quotes to eight cities out of Newark, FedEx Ground Economy won five destinations and UPS Ground Saver won the other three, with the biggest 20 lb gap landing on the box to Chicago. At 50 lb, USPS returned no rate on any of the eight lanes, so UPS and FedEx were the only carriers bidding, and UPS won every one of the eight on its cheapest quote, UPS Ground.